August 2017

Friday 8-18-17

Greetings and welcome!

Just a couple of quick updates..

First up the weekend weather looks very nice. It will be a little humid and on the warm side in the low and mid-80s, but you will get that in August.

The TV weather guy and I agree that there will be a slight chance of a storm popping up and a better chance of it as Sunday progresses. My model guidance shows a little precip possible in MN and downstate, but nothing around here. Likewise the NWS is showing no precip chances. My thinking is that with moisture in the atmosphere and a warm sunny day it wouldn’t be a reach to see a storm or two pop up. Sunday night into Monday there is a much better chance at rain.

I will again be taking rafting pictures at Kosir’s Saturday. The river has usually long dried up by now, but this is not an ordinary year. Today the Peshtigo is running 552cfs and about a +6 or +7″ level. The normal median flow for today is 187cfs, too low to run without hitting a zillion rocks. We are breaking records at 552cfs, a very fun level for both rafting and tubing.

One last item… I got a note from one of the guys that did a lot of work to see the stretch of Parkway Rd from Hwy C south to the town line opened to ATVs. He wanted to remind us that the speed limit is 35, and 25 in the corners. I was past there Wednesday and it is well marked. It is a very controversial stretch and it won’t take much to screw it up, so please observe the speed limits and be on your best behavior while passing through.

That’s news for today. Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!

RJB

Tuesday August 15th, 2015

Greetings and welcome!
We had a little rain yesterday. It didn’t look like much earlier in the day but later the storm dropped anywhere from 1/2″ to 1″ of rain. The wet summer and summer of unbelievable whitewater continues.

The Peshtigo River is usually low enough to be pretty much un-runnable at this time of year, but it remains at awesome levels. Normally it would be at 200cfs, and we are at 485, it is rising, and the watershed got hit with the rain yesterday, so I don’t see it going down much before the weekend. To sweeten the deal a little we have a decent chance of rain and thunderstorms for about Thursday. Rafting and lazy river tubing will be good this weekend.

Tuesday is a little early to pin down details for weekend weather, but let’s give it a look. There will be some rain in the area Saturday, mostly in the southern half of the state. The GFS is showing a chance of rain popping up Saturday afternoon, but it is nothing organized. My take is be ready for a possible rain shower or storm, but don’t change plans over it.

Weekend events..

There is a gun show Saturday from 8-2 at the Crivitz Village Hall with the Crivitz VFW.

Trump Lake Pavilion (Near Wabeno) will be hosting a walleye fundraiser Saturday Aug 19th. Thee will be meat and tool raffles, a silent auction, and a kids sawdust pile.

The Hidden Bear ATV Club will be having a meat raffle and fundraiser at Animal’s Bear Trail Inn On Hwy 64 & T (about 4 miles west of 32 & 64)from noon to 6pm Saturday. Meat raffle, 50/50 raffles, and they are also having a big cash raffle.. $100 a ticket, 175 tickets sold, and 25 cash prizes including a top prize of 4 grand. Yeehaw!

The Oconto Co fair is this weekend in Gillett. (Link)

St. Mary’s of the Lake Annual Parish Picnic Sunday in Lakewood (Link)

Next Thursday-Sunday 8-24 to 8-27 is the Marinette Co Fair in Wausaukee (Link)

Dirt Bag Paddlers’ Frank Fest- A big party with raft & kayak races Sunday on the Menominee River. (Link)

Yesterday I posted a whole bunch of fall events on the Caldron Falls Bar web site. Take a look. (Link)

That is it for me today. Have a good week and thank you for visiting!

RJB

 

Friday August 11, 2017

Greetings and welcome!

A couple of weekend updates..

The weather forecast for the weekend remains ideal with sunny skies and temps in the mid to upper 70s. Low temps are expected to be around 50 for both nights. There is no mention of rain in the forecast until about next Wednesday. Could it be true?

The sky watching will be very good this weekend, at least for a couple of hours a night. We are at the peak of the Perseid Meteor shower tonight. (LINK)  The bad news is that the moon will be very bright. Moonrise tonight comes at around 10:20 p.m., and on Saturday night  it’s at around 10:50 p.m.

I did a little star gazing on the front step last night and was rewarded not just with a sky full of stars, but quite a few shooting stars from the meteor shower. It was a good show. When the moon first rose it threw a beam that lit up my work shed roof like something inside was glowing. As it rose the shadows changing and increasing areas being lit was an interesting show too.

Tuesday night the town board did approve the ATV route on Parkway Rd from the Red Pine BP at C & Parkway south to the Stephenson town line. It will open Wednesday the 16th. This is a hugely important trail link and it came with a lot of opposition. It will be well watched.

There is live music tonight at the Caldron Falls Bar & Grill in their outside Pavilion with the band ‘Subject to Change’.

We had some fairly heavy rains come through the area yesterday. The USGS gauge says that is was about 1/2″, but I am sure that some areas had more.We had some small hail, but no severe weather.

That rain hit in the perfect area to make the Peshtigo River jump quite nicely for weekend rafting and tubing. We were at about 350cfs, still in the fun zone, but this afternoon it is back up over 500cfs, about a +6″ level and it is rising. The central and upper watersheds got hit pretty good, so I expect increased water levels for 2-3 days at the least. The median flow for today is 202cfs, a pretty rocky ride. The summer of spectacular whitewater continues!

Last but not least, tomorrow is the Silver Cliff Picnic & Parade. The parade starts at Boat Landing 11 Rd & Hwy C at 10am and proceeds to the picnic grounds at Hwy C & I, or Parkway North. The picnic starts at 11am. They have done a lot of work at the picnic grounds in the recent past and the word on the street is that it is very nice. Stop in and see what’s new!

Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!

RJB

 

 

Wednesday August 9th, 2017

Headlines-

Silver Cliff Picnic & Parade this Saturday

Nice weather this weekend

The whitewater rafting and river tubing continues to be good


Greetings and welcome!

Last Saturday’s weather didn’t quite go as planned. We were expecting mostly clear and pleasant weather. Saturday afternoon pop-up thunderstorms came our way and gave us some downpours. It was interesting in that they were very localized. I looked one way and the sky was menacing and black, and the other way it was blue with harmless puffy clouds. The USGS rain gauge by Kosir’s showed about 1/2″ each day.

We are again looking at a nice forecast for the weekend. The NWS is looking for sunny and mid-70s weather both days this weekend, and low temps in the mid-50s. A look at the various forecast models supports that with high pressure dominating our weather. Like last weekend, summer can produce some pop-up storms just from the heating of the day, so as always, be ready for anything.

We have some rain coming for tonight through Friday with the focus on Thursday. Thursday looks pretty wet. Looking at the GFS QPF it is only showing us in the 0.25-0.5″ range, but the 0.5-0.75″ bands are close both to the north and south. Thunderstorms can up those totals significantly, but it is hard to guess where that will happen.

The whitewater rivers continue to be above normal, and Thursday’s rain should keep that train rolling. The Peshtigo River is running at 364cfs right now, well above the normal of 200cfs. Likewise the Menominee River is running at 1840cfs, again above the mean of 1410. Get it while you can.

The higher water has also extended the lazy river tubing season at Kosir’s. The river can get too low and rocky for tubing, and that hasn’t happened yet this year.

On a related note, the TV weather guy on the morning news said that this was the wettest year on record in Green Bay.

A lot of people have been asking and commenting on this wet year translating to a snowy winter. I am skeptical. I have seen this before, and my recollection is that a wet summer does not always translate to a wet winter. I do point out that the June rains estimated at 6-9″ would make a very interesting January. With a 12:1 snow to rain translation and a couple of storms coming as rain, we would still be looking at 4+ feet of snow in one month. That would indeed be an interesting winter.

The paper wasps support a good winter. The legend goes that low nests mean a low snow winter. Last summer you could walk into a nest face first because they were 4-6′ off of the ground. This year they are high up in the trees. Hmmm.

Events- This Saturday is the Silver Cliff Picnic and Parade. Here is the info on that and the other events this weekend.

August 12
40th Annual Silver Cliff Fire & Rescue Aux. Picnic – Silver Cliff Memorial Picnic Grounds
Parade line-up at 9 AM, Parade at 10 AM – Picnic from 11 am – 5 pm  – Food & Drink, Games & Raffles, Fun for the whole family

August 12
Annual ACA Duck Run at the County V Park west of Amberg
Starts at 11am, public is invited. Paddle wheel, raffles, food and refreshments. Ducks for sale at Mathis Hardware, Driftwood Sport & Fuel, Amberg Pub.

Aug. 12, 13, and Aug. 17-20
Oconto County FairZippel Park, Gillett
Demoliton derbies, horse, truck and tractor pulls, animal judging, exhibits, bands, family entertainment and carnival

I am looking forward to getting outside to start on my fall work. I am hammering away at catching up on my inside work and making good progress. It is kicking my butt having all of these unusually comfortable late July and early August days get past me, knowing that in about 6 weeks I will be happy to have a 70 degree day and an 8pm sunset. On that note I am going to run along.

Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!

RJB

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