September 2019

Tuesday 9-24-19

Greetings and welcome!

It would be hard to goof up last weekend’s forecast any worse than I did. I was predicting rain Saturday and a nice day Sunday. Saturday was a dreary day but we didn’t see much for measurable rainfall. Sunday it rained for much of the day and into Monday morning.

The USGS gauge says that Sunday’s rain was about 1/2”. I am not so sure, some of the storms pounded pretty hard on the roof.

There are rain chances again tonight and Friday. Tonight’s rain could get heavy and there is a slight risk of severe weather. Once Friday’s rain clears out we should have a good weekend, but the timing of the storm only needs to change a little to change that in a big way.

The rain has become a little bit of a problem in my world. I have a couple of decks that need staining before winter or they will see damage. With it raining every two or three days they are far too wet to stain. The heavy dew from the diurnal temperature change isn’t on my side either. When I checked one yesterday it was really wet. I could use some nice dry sunny days to dry them out. So far the forecast isn’t on my side.

People with muddy roads or puddles will have both. It has been a very wet fall.

The fall colors don’t seem to have changed all that much in the past few days. The early color is here, but the late stuff isn’t starting yet.

Events this weekend include the Silver Cliff Soup and Chili Festival, a fall festival and ride in Crooked Lake, and the Toys For Joy ride at Prospect Lodge.

The Peshtigo River continues to run above normal. Typically it would be at about zero, and a little over 200cfs. This morning it is at about a +5” and 500cfs.

Time to get back to work. Have a good week and thank you for visiting!

RJB

Friday September 20, 2019

Greetings and welcome!

We has some more rain Wednesday night/Thursday morning. There was thunder and lightning and some heavy downpours. I would guess that we had close to an inch of rain here. The USGS gauge says 1/2″ and again I think that reading is a little understated.

That storm was redeveloping right over us and a little to our west. It didn’t hit the upper Peshtigo River watershed too much but the lower watershed ( I consider that from about Goodman Park and downstream) got a good drink of water. The Pesh is running at about a +6″ right now.

That storm moved off to the east and stalled over the UP between about Escanaba and Menominee, MI. The radar suggested that they saw 5-6″ of rain in one night. There were flood watches and warnings and everything. It had to do damage, but I guess that they should be happy that it wasn’t a snow storm, or God forbid, an ice storm.

All of the moisture from recent storms along with big temperature swings from night to day have left us with some foggy mornings. It is kind of pretty out of the back window, but not much fun to drive in.

The fall colors are looking nice for the early show. Some late species like the oaks are not changing at all yet. The early show is here and getting better daily.

I do not have any new events for this weekend. The Silver Cliff Soup & Chili Festival is coming up next weekend (9-28) and there is some sort of fall festival and poker run down in Crooked Lake that weekend too.

The weather this weekend looks a little better than expected. Saturday we might get a break in the rain from late morning to mid-afternoon, then rain and T-storms are likely. I have seen several different takes on the timing of all of that, so that forecast is a little wishy-washy, but rain in the afternoon and night seems likely. It is expected to clear out Sunday morning and leave us with a decent day.

I can tell you that a little overcast or a damp day is not a bad thing when checking out the fall colors. It really makes the colors stand out nicely. If Saturday is too damp and rainy to do stuff outside jump into the car and go on a fall color tour. The areas with a lot of maple are really nice right now.

That is it for me today. Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!

RJB

Tuesday 9-17-19

Greetings and welcome!

We have had a very wet week this week, and when it isn’t raining it is damp. Friends are reporting all kinds of mushrooms and fungi popping up in lawns and in their travels.

The rain Saturday night was a heavy one. The USGS gauge by Kosir’s marked it as about 1/2″. Umm… no. Absolutely not. I would call it 1.5-2″. The heavy stuff kept redeveloping right over us and the rain kept coming hard. I saw quite a few friends that posted rain gauges on FaceBook showing the 1.5-2″. By my estimation we saw 4-5″ of rain in the past week.

The rain stopped for a couple of days but it will be back for the weekend. My GFS forecast model shows a slow moving storm that could bring off and on rain Friday-Sunday and a couple of more inches of rain. It is not an all day every day thing, but the chances will be there the whole time. I always say that the forecast is usually worse than the weather, but I am a little skeptical of that in this scenario.

Something that is a little bit of a sneak preview on my winter forecast is this nagging though that this is a lot like last fall when the weather was really wet. The other typical thought at this time of year is what if last week happened in January or February? That 4-5″ of rain would translate to at least a couple of feet of wet heavy snow.

The rains have lifted the whitewater rivers quite nicely. The Peshtigo peaked last weekend at about a +15″. It is coming back down and is at about a +12″ right now. Some people did go rafting last weekend and they found a wild river issuing big adventures. It was good to see people out after Labor Day. It always annoyed me that tourism just shuts off after the holiday when September brings some of the nicest weather, and often outstanding whitewater.

We have not had our first frost yet. As a result a lot of the insect world is alive and well and thriving on the wet weather. The gnat is the most obvious annoyance. There was laughter yesterday when a friend with a big cloud of gnats walked up to a taller friend, stood next to him for a minute, and then ducked down and snuck away, leaving the taller person with a whole cloud of new friends. LOL. I will be remembering that one.

The fall color change has come on full throttle in the past week. The silver maple across my pond had just a splash of color when I did my last Tuesday update. Now it is fully yellow/orange. A LOT of other species have started the big change in the past week too. The early show is here.

The fall is always busy for me with winter preparations. This year it is really extreme with moving the girlfriend to a new house and getting two others ready to rent. I am having a fit that I haven’t touched the first stick of firewood and it is September 17th already. My short term to-do list has 21 jobs on it and 8 are emergencies that have to happen yesterday, and most are NOT hour long jobs, but rather the all day type. The technology hasn’t been my friend either. Yesterday Hughesnet went down for a lot of the day and most of the night, throwing a wrench into my plans to catch up on web site work. I have also burned up 3 smartphones in 3 weeks and am waiting for the UPS guy to bring the next one. I know that there are  texts with more work waiting for me. It is going to be a busy fall. We have a saying around here.. The Good Lord only issues you the challenges that you are capable of.

On that note I am off to get going on my lists. Big smile-Check. Good attitude-check. Lots of tools-check. Beautiful fall colors-check. Ready set go.

Have a good week and thank you for visiting!

RJB

Friday September 13th, 2019

Greetings and welcome!

I have a couple of quick weekend notes to update you on.

First up is that the fall colors made huge strides in the past few days. A lot of the maples are starting to come into color, and a few other species as well.

Item two is that we had a lot of rain last night. The USGS gauge by Kosirs says that we saw about 1.5″, bringing this week’s totals to about 3″. That could be very easily understated. It will be a little muddy in places.

That brings us to my third point, the prediction of the Peshtigo River being prime for rafting this weekend. I predicted a level of +12. We blew through that running away last night. It is probably about +14 right now and the gauge is going almost straight up. I’d be surprised if it wasn’t 16″+ tomorrow. The weather will be nice. Call Kosir’s.

The jury is still out on the cell phone booster.

Don’t forget about the Country Fling at Fisher’s Camp Saturday.

BTW, it is Friday the 13th and the full moon is just after midnight.

Gotta zoom. Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!

RJB

Tuesday’s Update..

9-10-19

Greetings and welcome!

My apologies for missing my updates last week. I have been so busy that if I had a clone it would take a month to catch up.. and the phone keeps ringing. It is good to have plenty of work, just not all at once while I am trying to do pre-winter chores.

We had a lot of rain last night. The radar returns estimated about 1/2”. No. Not even close. The USGS gauge by Kosir’s says 1”, bringing our one week total to 2”. That is closer, but I will insist that it was over an inch. There were a lot of waves of really heavy rain. There was a lot of thunder and lightning too.

This morning was dreary, windy and damp. It was a classic wet fall day. It reminded me of a lesson that I learned the hard way many years ago. When I have a couple of weeks in fall to do outside work above 50 degrees it is really a lot less. Between the short days and stormy weather a couple of weeks is really a lot less.

The fall color show is getting started. It seems late this year. There is one species of early maple that is full blood red right now. Otherwise the maples in my yard, mostly silver maple, are getting a branch here and there that is changing. A lot of the trees are getting a lot lighter green, indicating that they are getting started. The ferns are yellow and the sumac are starting their change too.

For now there is not a lot of color. My thought yesterday driving home was maybe 5% of the show is there.

The wet fall weather is not lost on the local whitewater rivers. The Peshtigo is running at about a +6” and is on the way up. Normally it would be about zero. I’d be very surprised if we didn’t see it go to +12 by the weekend. Yes they still whitewater raft after Labor Day. The crowds are smaller, but they raft for most of September. If you are lucky you will hit it when the fall colors on the river are in their full glory.

I have two events for this weekend. In Lakewood they are having their Festi-Fall weekend. https://www.ocontocounty.org/events/?i=festi-fall-2019-09-14&d=2019-09&view=l

Also Fisher’s Camp is having their Country Fling this Saturday.

The County Fling started at Parkway Inn many years ago when Augie & Eveie owned it and Ron & Karen kept up the tradition. They are in the process of being sold and went to an end of summer party. Augie & Eveie’s grandson Evan runs Fisher’s Camp now, and he is continuing the Country Fling tradition. There will be several bands and the cookout and all of the fun stuff that goes with it.

Something that a lot of people want to know about has been the subject of a lot of my research lately. That would be cell phone boosters. The girlfriend’s new house is in an area lower that some areas between it and the tower, and the signal needs some help.

Most people around here have Cellcom phones, and those run off of Verizon towers. ATT based phones work OK by Hwy 32 & 141, but when I tried them in between the highways I had very little success. Our phones run off of the Verizon/Cellcom towers so that is what I am dealing with.

My surveys show that most areas run off of band 13 700mhz frequencies. I did get a band 4 in Crivitz. I would guess that the band 4 is the ATT offering.

I can buy multi-band boosters, and Wilson Electronics or We Boost are the ones to have. The bad news is that they start at about $400. I have one of those set up at the GF’s old house now and it works good.

The hook is that I only need one band and I really don’t want to pay another $400. I bought a single band booster ($200) that just does the channel 13/700mhz bands. As soon as I get the chance I am going to see if it works out or not.

It has a yagi directional antenna that works much the same way as cupping your hands over your ear to hear something better. With that antenna outside and up on the roof it gets a much stronger signal to amplify (8Db gain). The price of that is that it needs to be pointed at the cell tower very accurately. Overall it could potentially do up to a 65Db gain. We will see.

Something that I found out along the way was that they are going to phase out the 2G/3G 1900mhz early phones possibly as soon as the end of the year.

There has been a lot of utility construction in the ditches around here recently. They have been on Hwy A, Hwy C, and down Parkway Rd south. Some of the pipe that they are laying is orange, indicating telecom cable. Some of it is just a normal black cable. They are also installing quite a few termination or frame boxes along the ditches.

So what is going on? I am not sure, but if I had to guess I would say that they are running lines for cable TV/Internet. It could easily be just the phone co doing upgrades, but they put a new cable down Hwy C about 10 years ago. I just don’t know.

Could Silver Cliff finally be getting a high speed internet provider? It would be nice to get off of that $94 a month satellite habit and the 4G cell phone internet that clogs up on weekends. I will try to get a straight answer.

That is it for me today. Have a good week and thank you for visiting!

RJB