Greetings and welcome!

The signs that summer is almost over are hard to miss. Some of the underbrush and ferns are starting to die back, and a couple of maple trees have the first splashes of color. I have a perfect track record of being 100% wrong predicting the fall colors, so I am not even going to try. It is in the very earliest stages though.

Next up on the list is weather for the big holiday weekend. Let’s start with I don’t know yet. Right now the GFS forecast model is showing a nice weekend with only a minor chance of rain on Saturday.

The I don’t know dynamic is the hurricane devastating Huston and surrounding areas right now. I have seen a variety of scenarios on how that ends. One sends it up the east coast. Another sends it up the Mississippi River Valley and then the Ohio River Valley, where it redevelops over New England. Both of those scenarios should leave us a mostly nice weekend.

I also saw one scenario where it tracked up the Mississippi River and ended up in SE WI. Depending on the timing of it, the storm could affect our weekend if that scenario came to be. Right now I see that as the least likely outcome.

So the glass is half full right now, but check on the weather for changes late week.

The endless summer of whitewater on the Peshtigo Rive looks like it will make it through Labor Day Weekend without ever hitting zero. We will be in the fun zone again this weekend. Right now it is running at about a +5 or +6, and the graph is at a flat line. Normally it would be about -3″ and too rocky for most people. Between the current  flow of 440cfs and some rain possible tomorrow, rafting and tubing for the weekend should be a lock.

As far as events go, I do not have anything new to add, so I will refer you to last week’s updates.

On the personal side I am in panic mode on fall work. I know that I can do it now or I can do it in less ideal weather. A hard lesson learned is that September is usually pretty nice, but as we get closer to October the increased unsettled weather and shorter days gives me a lot less time than it looks like on the calendar. I have had a great summer, but self employment has left me very busy and neglecting my outside work. Time to be driven.

On that note, I am off to work outside on cars, firewood or something else that I don’t want to do at 40 degrees.

Have a good week and thank you for visiting!

RJB

By Ray B

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