Greetings and welcome!
As of my 1pm check, the line of rain for today looks pretty minor. It is a cloudy cool day and it will hard for a storm to get rolling.
The main focus of the rain looks like it is going south. There is a narrow band of green on the radar going through about Vilas Co, and the bulk of the rain will be to the south of us other than that band. If it is just that one line on the radar, it could end up radar rain or a couple of tenths. We could see another weak line like that overnight, opinions vary on that one.
The latest HPC and North American Model updates are showing a chance of a storm catching us tomorrow, and are showing QPFs in the 0.5-0.75″ range. It isn’t expected to be an all day thing, but rather a line of storms.
There is some disagreement on timing, morning orĀ afternoon. If we have a partly cloudy day with some sun to get convection going, and a wet atmosphere, I could see an afternoon storm and a good downpour.
Once the area of rain is past tomorrow we should be done with rain for the weekend. There is no mention of rain Saturday night or Sunday.
I think my path here is to be aware of the possibility of rain tomorrow and be ready for it, but not worry about it too much.
It isn’t an organized storm bearing down on us. It is more that conditions are right, and a little energy in the atmosphere or afternoon convection could trigger some showers or a storm. Recent storm paths, including today’s, have pushed the bulk of the rain south, and I am not sold on the idea that it will suddenly change tomorrow.
Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!
RJB