Greetings and welcome!
It is the eve of the World Championship Hog Wrestle at the Caldron Falls Bar. Thousands will come to join the fun, and I will be one of them. The hog wrestling action starts at noon till about 5, and the fun and goes on into the night with live music. It is rain or shine, and as always you will want to bring your safe ride home/designated driver.
The weather for tomorrow has me a little nervous. It will be hot and muggy with temps in the 85-90ºF range. The NWS has the rain chances at 50%, with the best chance between 1-7pm.
The setup with the hot humid air and a cold front coming though in the afternoon is impressive. We will have a very unstable atmosphere and a cold front for a trigger. It should bring a line of strong storms at some point, and possibly even severe weather.
When I see CAPE values over 2,000 I expect that a thunderstorm is likely. Tomorrow’s maps are showing CAPE values in the 3-4,000 j/Kg range. That is impressive and kinda scary. Between the humidity and unstable air we could see some strong storms and heavy downpours.
A big factor is how much sun we get. If it stays cloudy the chances of strong storms goes down. A sunny day will bring a better chance of big storms.
Don’t let it change your day, but keep an eye on the sky and take shelter if it gets big.
Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!
RJB