Greetings!
A stretch of warm weather and low snow totals ended our snowmobiling season early. ElNino winters are usually bad for snowmobilers, and this one lived up to the hype.
We had a few warm weeks, and a coupe of really nice days, the warmest being 67. Mud season soon followed, with foot deep ruts and people parking cars out by the road.
The ground is bare, and the frost is out of the ground now in most open areas. Sheltered areas might still be a little soft, and places with more snow a little north are probably behind in the ground thaw.
Once the snowmobile trails closed so did the ATV trails. They stay closed until the ground firms up. Usually they reopen the first week of May, but it can be early or late depending on conditions.
The Peshtigo River ice opened early, and last Saturday found high water (~30″) for those that made it for opening weekend at Kosir’s Rafting. It is at +18″ now and falling, but we have a big storm possible mid-week that could send it right back up.
Did I mention that there could be a big storm this week? We could see a little rain or snow ahead of the main event coming for Wednesday into Thursday.
Depending on where the storm tracks, somewhere could see 6-10+ inches, along with a good bit of wind. With the amount of cold air shown it could be fairly light snow and subject to a lot of blowing and drifting.
Right now where will it hit is the question. There have been two scenarios being shown. One has from Green Bay south getting the big stuff. Scenario two moves it 100 miles north for a perfect bulls eye on the area from Green Bay to Iron Mountain. The latter is what my newest guidance is showing, with the GFS and North American models in good agreement.
As shown it will be a good storm somewhere.
There are a couple of more big storms showing up in the 16 day GFS.
There is a lot more to talk about but it is time to go for tonight. Have a good week and thank you for visiting!
RJB