Greetings and welcome!
We had a warm week this week but nothing too terrible.
It is a lot quieter around here since the big holiday weekend. We went camping Fri-Mon so I can’t tell you how the weekend was around here, but my friends tell me that it was a really busy weekend. I know that the roads were sure packed when we were travelling, and when we got back Monday it was still pretty busy.
Surprisingly I have not seen any fall color yet. On Hwy F near Wheeler Lake there are a couple of big maples that often bring some of the earliest color. They were a light green, but nothing that I would call a color change. Some years I see the first leaves there change by the third week in August. This year seems to be late. I don’t have an explanation or even a guess as to why.
About the only event that I have for this weekend is five hours away in Minnesota. It is the first snowmobile event of the year, Hay Days. It is an absolutely huge event with snowmobile grass drags, a swap area that it 30 acres, motorcycle stunt shows, ATV mud bogs, and powersports dealers demo-ing new equipment. It is a really big deal. Here is a link- https://haydays.com
The weather outlook for this weekend is a big question mark. The forecast models are showing a cold front coming into the state and setting up camp. Exactly where it is going to set up camp is impossible to know. One forecast model shows it all to the southeast of us, one shows us right on the far east end of it. Where it does set up they can expect a rainy weekend as wave after wave of rain slides down the frontal boundary. Rainfall estimates range from 2-3″ up to 6″ or more. At the moment both the GFS and NAM models are showing it somewhere else, and us in the 0.25-0.5″ range for the weekend.
I have seen this scenario many times before and it gives me ulcers with my forecasting. Will it be a nice weekend or will it rain 2-4″? A hundred miles can make the difference. Right now my bet is on a mostly nice weekend with occasional rain, but who knows?
Check out the poster for our wedding party below.
Have a good weekend and thank you for visiting!
RJB